A brief, not a black box

Our methodology exists so a risk committee can see how conclusions were reached. Every study states the index list, the observation end date, the rolling windows, and the stress periods agreed with you.

  1. Scoping

    We confirm benchmarks, currency treatment, and the committee or trustee date that constrains delivery. You tell us which crisis weeks matter to your book.

  2. Series lock

    Index identifiers are written down. We note vendor sources and any splices or backfills so later readers know what they are looking at.

  3. Window design

    Standard studies use several rolling lengths plus at least one calm and one stress window. We avoid mixing daily and weekly returns without saying so.

  4. Cluster reading

    Beyond pairwise numbers, we group indices that travel together and call out breaks when a relationship that looked stable suddenly does not.

  5. Memorandum and walk-through

    Findings are written for the people who will sit in the meeting. The analyst who signed the note leads the discussion.

What we will not do

We will not present an all-period average as if it described a crisis week. We will not imply that low correlation guarantees future independence. We will not dress a short sample as a robust regime map.

Where this leads

If the method fits your next committee cycle, open a consultation or request a briefing with your index list attached.